Should We Now Worry About Portugal?
. Greek politicians, it seems, are stubborn when it comes to questions of sovereignty.
Portugal, on the other hand, moved quickly to sell a government-owned bank and stakes in two Portuguese companies as soon as asked to do so in 2011. To date Lisbon has acquiesced with regard to all austerity requests made of it. Portugal's public debt currently represents more than 100% of GDP and should continue to grow to reach a peak of 115% in 2013 according to troika estimates. By late 2013, after austerity measures have had some impact, it is hoped Portugal will be able to return to sovereign debt markets for funding. By contrast, even with the 53.5% bond haircut Greece is expected to reduce its public debt only to 130% by 2020.
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To understand modern finance in general and the continuing debt woes in the eurozone and beyond, you need to have the word haircut in your lexicon. If you have invested in, say, Greek bonds, you do not take a 50% loss in a restructured deal,